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Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).

Resolves: February 28, 2026

Current Odds

2%
YES Price
98%
NO Price
$103.5K
Total Volume
$6.7K
Liquidity
YES 2%NO 98%

Whale Activity

1
Whales Tracking
$2.9K
Whale Volume
100%
Whale Sentiment
1
Open Positions
YES ($0)NO ($2.9K)

1 tracked whales have $2.9K in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.

Whale Positions

TraderPositionSizeEntryP&L
How.Dare.You
No$2.9K85c+$444

Recent Whale Trades

How.Dare.You
Oct 9
SELLNo$6.9K

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? odds on Polymarket?

The current odds for Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? are 2% YES and 98% NO on Polymarket. This market has $103,499 in total trading volume.

How do I bet on Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025??

You can trade Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.

What do whales think about Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025??

1 tracked whales have $2,947 in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.

When does Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2026.

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