In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Resolves: February 28, 2026
1 tracked whales have $2.9K in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.
| Trader | Position | Size | Entry | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
How.Dare.You | No | $2.9K | 85c | +$444 |

The current odds for Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? are 2% YES and 98% NO on Polymarket. This market has $103,499 in total trading volume.
You can trade Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
1 tracked whales have $2,947 in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2026.
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