Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 4 (inclusive) and 6 (inclusive) SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g. via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: December 31, 2025
Current Odds
Whale Activity
1 tracked whales have $482 in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.
Whale Positions
| Trader | Position | Size | Entry | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 How.Dare.You | No | $482 | 90c | $-472 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? odds on Polymarket?
The current odds for Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? are 98% YES and 2% NO on Polymarket. This market has $105,896 in total trading volume.
How do I bet on Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025??
You can trade Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
What do whales think about Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025??
1 tracked whales have $482 in positions. The smart money is bearish on this market.
When does Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2025.
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