This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/2026-us-house-election-republican-odds-over-30-by-march-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Resolves: March 31, 2026
No tracked whales have positions in this market yet.
Get alerts when whales enter this market →The current odds for 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31? are 42% YES and 59% NO on Polymarket. This market has $1,008 in total trading volume.
You can trade 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31? on Polymarket.com. Create an account, deposit USDC, and place your prediction. Use PolyTrack to track what top traders are betting before you trade.
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This market is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2026.
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